Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 118.474920 136.038756 156.279769 181.556305 212.594357 249.885820 2.987331e+02
2025-05-04 93.085726 114.640459 142.013624 180.140776 233.242959 306.804153 4.206976e+02
2025-05-11 80.042609 103.213270 134.619449 181.849797 254.045683 365.864421 5.652392e+02
2025-05-18 69.904732 93.184285 126.284079 179.041770 265.822919 413.209547 7.107369e+02
2025-05-25 63.497099 87.104190 122.103507 180.878836 284.361683 476.489912 9.169672e+02
2025-06-01 57.893582 81.293580 117.202117 180.217163 297.906921 534.685483 1.147687e+03
2025-06-08 52.894607 75.716066 111.754443 177.400262 306.451745 585.537430 1.396509e+03
2025-06-15 50.435114 73.761693 111.805715 184.135987 335.173271 691.911542 1.896050e+03
2025-06-22 45.800162 67.805128 104.363126 175.621458 329.857760 714.419914 2.145228e+03
2025-06-29 42.948806 64.501053 101.097320 174.588916 340.768854 784.174686 2.659899e+03
2025-07-06 40.543619 61.711748 98.403827 174.218926 353.120403 864.137422 3.343556e+03
2025-07-13 39.837668 61.743651 100.791291 184.709013 395.011104 1058.806899 5.062940e+03
2025-07-20 39.244942 62.117492 104.248482 199.159157 455.351492 1376.053207 9.019381e+03
2025-07-27 36.829061 59.024986 100.719993 197.379745 470.698595 1540.253436 1.279953e+04
2025-08-03 35.056565 56.936183 98.911918 199.305613 498.236531 1789.354135 2.033480e+04
2025-08-10 32.995253 54.121508 95.296496 196.133274 508.641667 1970.137977 2.989715e+04
2025-08-17 31.600825 52.448550 93.855228 198.208350 538.009875 2298.426557 5.390619e+04
2025-08-24 30.102600 50.448951 91.496652 197.460849 557.421345 2600.849890 9.759480e+04
2025-08-31 28.551357 48.226634 88.428693 194.279825 566.808361 2856.448964 1.760045e+05
2025-09-07 27.919586 47.769961 89.188156 201.889648 623.153633 3607.515606 7.579371e+05
2025-09-14 26.142693 44.888754 84.230463 192.272155 603.105394 3638.849101 1.268426e+06
2025-09-21 25.069276 43.367695 82.242405 191.107145 620.595124 4104.189428 7.232955e+06
2025-09-28 24.124063 42.045269 80.589630 190.689755 641.870324 4687.801015 1.050912e+09